KEY HIGHLIGHTS
- Net profit USD 338 Mn in 2Q26, +110.9% QoQ, against a USD 10 Mn loss in 2Q25. 1H26 profit of USD 504 Mn is 53.5% of FY26F, a beat.
- 2Q26 revenue USD 1,244 Mn, +589.6% YoY, on 90,066 dmt of concentrate shipped under the permit that expired 30 April, worth 60% of the quarter. 1H26 revenue is 47.0% of FY26F.
- 2Q26 EBITDA margin 57.2%, +3.8pp QoQ, as revenue grew 54.0% against cost of revenue up 33.8%. Early repayment cut net debt 13% YTD to USD 5.0 Bn, leverage 2.4x from 5.4x.
- Our read: a strong print, but the mix flatters it. Three-fifths of 2Q26 revenue came from a channel that shut in April, and at 9.7x forward EV/EBITDA against a two-year mean of 19.1x the market already reads 1H26 as a peak. Key watch: whether 2H26 refined output delivers the 130 kt cathode and 350 koz gold guidance.
Regards, Aldiracita Research