KEY HIGHLIGHTS
- 1H26 revenue +3.9% YoY to IDR 75.9Tn (51% of FY26F, on pace); 2Q26 rebounded +4.0% QoQ to IDR 38.7Tn led by mobile, with Data/Internet & IT +11.2% YoY to IDR 48.2Tn offsetting legacy declines (IndiHome -3.4%, interconnection -10.4%, SMS/voice -29%).
- 2Q26 EBITDA +11.8% QoQ to IDR 19.7Tn (50.9% margin); operating profit +25.5% QoQ, as the 1Q restructuring drag faded and cost discipline held (interconnect -9.7%, employee -4.4%). 1H26 EBITDA +3.4% YoY to IDR 37.3Tn, margin stable ~49%.
- 2Q26 net profit +44.6% QoQ / +27.5% YoY to IDR 6.3Tn, but 1H26 PATMI only +1.4% YoY to IDR 10.6Tn on the soft 1Q and a higher Telkomsel minority share (NCI +14% YoY). Mobile ARPU IDR 46.0k (+9% YoY).
- Our read: a clean in-line 1H with an encouraging, mobile-led 2Q rebound. Quality-led monetization is working (ARPU up, base pruned to 153.5mn); durability hinges on ARPU holding and FBB calibration. At ~4.1x EV/EBITDA vs a 5.0x 5-year mean, valuation is undemanding. Key watch: whether 2H ARPU gains stick and the group restructuring (Telkom Enterprise/InfraCo) delivers.
Regards, Aldiracita Research