KEY HIGHLIGHTS
- 1H26 revenue flat at IDR 3.46Tn (+0.3% YoY) (50% of FY26F); tower-lease revenue slipped 0.3% as the XLSMART (XL–Smartfren) merger rationalised tenancies — combined XL/Smart/XLSMART tower revenue −10% YoY — while Telkomsel (+3.5%), Indosat (+0.5%) and fiber (+6.0%) grew. 2Q26 +1.4% QoQ, churn stabilising.
- EBITDA IDR 2.95Tn (−0.6% YoY), margin 85.3% (from 86.1%); operating profit −1.7% to IDR 2.16Tn. 2Q26 EBITDA +1.5% QoQ to IDR 1.49Tn (85.4% margin).
- 1H26 net profit +1.6% YoY to IDR 836Bn — ahead of the flat operating line — on lower funding costs (interest −4.7% YoY after refinancing). 2Q26 +14.3% QoQ / +8.9% YoY to IDR 446Bn; ~56% of FY26F, slightly ahead of pace.
- Our read: a low-growth, in-line print — churn stabilising vs refinancing risk. Tenancy ratio fell to 1.68x (from 1.78x) as sites outgrew tenants; net debt ~4.8–5.2x EBITDA with maturities in 12–24 months. At ~10.2x EV/EBITDA vs a 13.2x 5-year mean, well below −1SD, the de-rating looks priced-in. Key watch: whether XLSMART churn is done and FTTT revives top-line growth.
Regards, Aldiracita Research