KEY HIGHLIGHTS
- 1H26 revenue +7.7% YoY to IDR 22.0Tn (48% of FY26F); coal ASP +10% YoY to IDR 1,027k/t on flat sales volume (−2% to 21.1Mt) off a weak 1H25 base. 2Q26 revenue +21.8% QoQ to IDR 12.1Tn as production surged +94% QoQ to 12.8Mt on lower rainfall.
- Gross profit +89% YoY to IDR 4.2Tn (margin 19.3%, from 11.0%); operating profit +209%, EBITDA +95% to IDR 3.6Tn. Cost control: stripping ratio 5.3x (from 6.2x), cash cost +2% YoY. 2Q26 exceptional — gross margin 22.3%, EBITDA margin 18.7%.
- Net profit +258% YoY to IDR 2.5Tn (2Q26 +116% QoQ to IDR 1.7Tn), aided by +109% associate/JV profit. At ~67% of FY26F, earnings run well ahead of pace; consensus (net IDR 3.8Tn) looks conservative if coal prices and volumes hold.
- Our read: a strong, margin-led beat off a low base; net-cash balance sheet. Watch thermal coal prices, 2H volumes (drier weather) and dividend capacity. At ~4.2x EV/EBITDA vs a 3.7x 5-year mean, valuation already reflects the recovery. Key watch: coal price and 2H production, plus dividend payout.
Regards, Aldiracita Research