KEY HIGHLIGHTS
- Net profit IDR 566 Bn in 2Q26, -0.4% YoY but +3.9% QoQ, taking 1H26 to IDR 1.1 Tn: 50.4% of FY26F consensus and in-line, though 1H26 operating profit fell IDR 56 Bn while finance costs fell IDR 80 Bn.
- 2Q26 revenue IDR 2.4 Tn, +2.7% YoY, on tower leasing up just 1.9%; towers rose 2.0% YoY to 40,563 and tenants 4.9% to 63,866, but tenancy ratio stayed flat QoQ at 1.57x.
- 2Q26 operating profit -3.0% YoY, EBITDA margin -1.7pp to 83.2%: D&A grew 4.9% YoY against revenue up 2.7%, and 1H26 operating profit at 46.7% of FY26F is the one miss.
- Our read: an asset-heavy grower whose earnings now lean on the balance sheet, not the towers. Growth is coming from new sites rather than colocation on existing ones, and management guides only to industry-level revenue growth for FY26. At 16.3x blended forward earnings against a two-year mean of 21.0x, MTEL trades below its -2SD of 16.9x. Key watch: whether tenancy ratio finally breaks above 1.57x.
Regards, Aldiracita Research