KEY HIGHLIGHTS
- 1H26 EBITDA IDR 14,603Bn, +13.6% YoY, margin steady at 47.6% and 51% of FY26F consensus, the cleanest read on the print and on pace.
- 1H26 revenue IDR 30,653Bn, +13.1% YoY, ARPU-led not volume-led: blended ARPU +17.3% YoY to IDR 46k while the base shrank to 93.4mn from 95.4mn; MIDI +18.5%.
- 1H26 reported net profit IDR 4,309Bn, +84.5% YoY, but flattered: ex the IDR 1,517.8Bn FiberCo gain booked in 2Q26 it is roughly IDR 2.8tn, +20% YoY, with 2Q26 broadly flat QoQ.
- Our read: broadly in-line operationally; the headline beat is the one-off. The FiberCo inflow cut net debt to EBITDA to 0.10x from 0.49x, and the ~US$650mn (IDR 11.7tn) proceeds could fund a 7.6-9% special dividend. At 3.9x forward EV/EBITDA against a 4.6x five-year mean, undemanding for double-digit EBITDA growth. Key watch: spectrum-auction pricing and whether ARPU gains hold as the base declines.
Regards, Aldiracita Research