KEY HIGHLIGHTS
- Net profit USD 216 Mn in 2Q26, +38.5% QoQ, 1H26 at 71.5% of FY26F. It carries a USD 146 Mn net FX gain (1H26: USD 185 Mn vs 19 Mn); ex FX, 2Q26 profit was USD 70 Mn, -39.8% QoQ, and 1H26 only 35.9%.
- 2Q26 net sales USD 884 Mn, +13.2% YoY, led by industrial paper +38.1% YoY to USD 316 Mn after the February Karawang start-up; cultural paper and pulp flat. 1H26 sales 43.1% of FY26F, a miss.
- 2Q26 operating margin 17.9%, -6.2pp QoQ: the industrial and tissue segment margin fell to 5.1% from 14.8%, while cultural paper and pulp held 26.3%. 2Q26 EBITDA USD 234 Mn, -8.9% QoQ.
- Our read: 1H26 is 41.4% of FY26F operating profit and 44.8% of EBITDA, against 1H25 at 44.0% and 45.2% of FY25, so the half tracks INKP’s own 2H-weighted pattern; the shortfall sits in the top line. INKP trades at 3.3x blended-forward EV/EBITDA vs a 3.8x 5-year mean. Key watch: industrial margin as Karawang utilisation builds in 3Q26.
Regards, Aldiracita Research