KEY HIGHLIGHTS
- BBCA still tops the 7M26 peer scorecard, and July widened its lead. It leads on cost at a 29.2% cost-to-income ratio, on returns at a 23.8% RoE and on funding at an 85.4% CASA ratio.
- July is the month Bank Indonesia’s earlier tightening reached the deposit book. Interest or profit-sharing expense rose MoM at seven of the eight banks; only BBCA’s fell, down 2.3%.
- Every bank earned less margin than a year earlier, and only three widened it in July. BBRI leads the field at 6.3% against a 4.8% peer median, with BBTN at 3.3% the laggard.
- Half the group has slipped behind the pace. BBRI at 52.4%, BRIS at 54.9%, BBTN at 50.7% and BNGA at 48.6% of FY26F net profit fall short of the 55.3% to 61.3% in-line band.
- The sector has de-rated further, and the market is not paying for the returns the deposit franchises earn. Every bank trades below its own five-year mean P/BV except BNGA, a 28.6% median discount at 7 September.
Regards, Aldiracita Research