KEY HIGHLIGHTS
- 2Q26 net loss IDR 395 Bn vs. a IDR 354 Bn 2Q25 profit; 1H26 loss IDR 821 Bn vs. FY26F consensus profit of IDR 507 Bn.
- 2Q26 revenue IDR 1.6 Tn, -0.5% YoY, as gaming stalled to 2.2% YoY after 90% in 1Q26; 1H26 revenue IDR 4.0 Tn is 50.2% of FY26F, in line.
- 2Q26 EBITDA -IDR 439 Bn, on a IDR 1,160 Bn Allo Bank mark-to-market loss against a IDR 672 Bn FX gain; ex-both, core operating loss narrowed to IDR 7 Bn from IDR 51 Bn, adjusted EBITDA positive IDR 6 Bn.
- Our read: a bad headline over an operating business quietly improving. 2Q26 gross margin of 8.5% is a five-quarter high and Mitra contribution margin hit 19.0%, but FY26F EBITDA of IDR 659 Bn now needs another portfolio revaluation, as in 3Q25. It trades at 25.2x blended-forward P/E versus a 23.1x two-year mean, with IDR 16.4 Tn cash and liquid investments against a IDR 12.3 Tn market cap. Key watch: whether gaming reaccelerates in 3Q26 without conceding contribution margin.
Regards, Aldiracita Research