KEY HIGHLIGHTS
- 2Q26 net loss of USD 4.6m, reversing a USD 17.5m profit in 1Q26, pulled 1H26 net profit down 44% YoY to USD 12.9m — only 13% of FY26F consensus and well behind the 50% half-year pace.
- 1H26 revenue -21% YoY to USD 95.8m (26% of FY26F); 2Q26 revenue collapsed 62% QoQ to USD 26.3m as gold sold fell to 6,301 oz (-57% QoQ) on the anticipated Poboya River Reef pushback, with only ~70% of output sold amid a domestic oversupply.
- 2Q26 EBITDA USD 5.9m (-81% QoQ), margin 22.5%, as gross margin dropped to 45.1% (from 62.6%) on lower volumes and a 0.90 g/t head grade; finance charges nearly doubled to USD 13.3m in 1H26.
- Our read: a timing-driven weak print, not structural. The pushback is finalised, open-pit mining has resumed and a Citra Palu–Antam offtake (to 2028) secures pricing; at 21.9x EV/EBITDA vs a 38.4x 5-year mean, the multiple has de-rated hard. Key watch: whether 2H gold output ramps and the 500→2,000 tpd plant upgrade lands in 4Q26.
Regards, Aldiracita Research