KEY HIGHLIGHTS
- 2Q26 net profit IDR 2.0Tn, +5.0% YoY but -11% QoQ. 1H26 net profit IDR 4.2Tn (+11.1% YoY) is 48.5% of FY26F consensus; revenue at 46.5% is below pace.
- Provisions did all the work, down 36% YoY to IDR 0.4Tn. The IDR 3.9Tn PSAK 413 top-up went to opening equity in January, not the income statement, and segment cost of credit is now negative in micro and KUR.
- NPF held at 1.80%, but financing at risk rose to 8.03% from 6.94%: retail FAR nearly doubled to 13.71% from 7.53% while wholesale improved to 8.29%. Coverage of 245.3% is already below 1Q26’s 254.0%.
- Our read: cost and margin read worse than they are, but credit and growth are narrowing. CIR excluding depreciation improved to 42.95% from 43.41%, and gold pawning fees sit outside the margin denominator. At 1.6x P/BV, below its five-year -1SD of 2.0x, much looks discounted against a 1H26 Tier-1 RoAE of 18.1%. Key watch: whether the margin recovers above 5.50% in 3Q26.
Regards, Aldiracita Research