KEY HIGHLIGHTS
- Jul-26 net profit IDR 263Bn, -45.3% MoM and -40.6% YoY, a two-year low. Provisions did it: IDR 386Bn against IDR 227Bn in June. Softer non-II and higher costs took PPOP down 13.5%. Equity barely moved, so single-month RoE fell in step, to 6.1% from 11.2%.
- The provision jump is a reserve rebuild. Write-offs cut allowances to IDR 4.2Tn from IDR 8.1Tn, thinning cover to 1.8% of loans from 3.5%. Management raised FY26 credit-cost guidance to 1.1%-1.4%; June and July are the first months at that rate, against IDR 89Bn in Jan-May.
- NII IDR 1.0Tn, the strongest month of 2026, lifting single-month NIM to 3.7% from 3.6%, though CIR climbed to 50.4%. Loans IDR 231Tn, +7.8% YoY; CASA 73.2%, LDR 89.2%.
- Our read: revenue is turning, credit is not. 7M26 profit is 48.6% of FY26F (Bank Only), behind pace; RoE 11.2% from 13.1%. At 0.75x P/BV, on its mean, fair not cheap. Key watch: whether the June-July provision run-rate holds through 2H26.
Regards, Aldiracita Research