KEY HIGHLIGHTS
- 2Q26 net profit of IDR 15.4Tn, up 21.5% YoY and flat QoQ. 1H26 profit of IDR 30.9Tn (+17.5% YoY) is 52% of FY26F consensus against a 50% pace.
- 1H26 cost-to-income fell to 39.2% from 41.9% as revenue grew 7.7% YoY against opex up 0.7%. 1H26 RoE rose to 18.8% from 16.6%, helped by equity up only 2.1% YoY after a ~92% FY25 payout.
- Loans grew 16.2% YoY to IDR 1,645.5Tn while deposits rose 6.7%, lifting LDR to 90.8% from 85.0% and taking single-quarter NIM to 7.6% from 7.9% in 1Q26. 1H26 credit cost improved to 3.08% and gross NPL to 2.9%.
- Our read: a good half, funded the expensive way. Earnings quality is real: cost leverage and lower credit cost. But growth is now carried by wholesale money after 100bp of BI hikes since May. At 1.42x P/BV, below its five-year -1SD of 1.80x, much of that funding risk looks priced. Key watch: whether deposit growth catches up with loans in 2H26.
Regards, Aldiracita Research