KEY HIGHLIGHTS
- Jul-26 net profit IDR 5.1Tn, +12% MoM and +5.0% YoY, the best month this year. 7M26 net profit IDR 35.3Tn (+1.6% YoY) is at 58.4% of FY26F consensus against a 58.3% pace, RoE 23.8%.
- Jul-26 NII IDR 7.1Tn, +7.5% MoM and +4.3% YoY, after +0.4% YoY in Jun-26. Interest income rose 6.0% MoM while interest expense fell 2.3% MoM, lifting annualised NIM to 5.7% from 5.2%.
- Loans IDR 1,001Tn at end-Jul-26, +8.4% YoY, flat MoM after a 3.6% jump in Jun-26. Deposits rose 0.4% MoM to IDR 1,258Tn, CASA ratio 85.4%, LDR 79.6%. Jul-26 provisions fell 37% MoM and 18% YoY to IDR 266Bn, credit cost 0.3%.
- Our read: the first monthly sign the margin squeeze is over, and it is revenue-led, not provision-led. On a Bank Only basis 7M26 profit is at pace, and at 2.9x P/BV (below its five-year -1SD of 3.8x) a 23.8% RoE looks under-priced. Key watch: whether NIM holds near 5.4% through 3Q26.
Regards, Aldiracita Research