KEY HIGHLIGHTS
- 1H26 revenue +67.5% YoY to USD 322.3m (50% of FY26F), driven by gold ASP +46.9% YoY to US$4,596/oz and gold sales +13% to 55.4koz (production +13% to 59.9koz). 2Q26 revenue +35.4% QoQ to USD 185.4m as gold prices climbed.
- EBITDA +~85% YoY to USD 160.8m, margin ~50% (from ~45%); operating profit +97% YoY to USD 146.0m. With 1H25 AISC US$1,872/oz and gold near US$4,600/oz, cash margins are exceptionally wide.
- Net profit +134% YoY to USD 81.5m; 2Q26 +70% QoQ to USD 51.3m. At ~56% of FY26F consensus, earnings run well ahead of the straight-line pace — the gold-price windfall flowing straight to the bottom line.
- Our read: a high-torque gold play tracking above consensus. FY26F (USD 641m revenue) looks conservative if gold holds; single-asset Toka Tindung leaves earnings highly geared to the price. At ~7.6x EV/EBITDA vs a 7.1x 5-year mean, valuation embeds a firm price. Key watch: the gold price, grade/production at Toka Tindung, and any consensus upgrades.
Regards, Aldiracita Research