KEY TAKEAWAYS
- Revenue reached IDR 17.9Tn, +38% QoQ and +60% YoY, driven by Trading & Distribution volumes and higher JIIPE land sales. 1H26 revenue reached 60.9% of FY26F consensus, marking a top-line beat.
- Gross profit rose 6.5% QoQ to IDR 1.2Tn, while gross margin compressed to 6.6% from 8.5% as higher ICP pressured petroleum trading margins. EBITDA grew 9% QoQ to IDR 1.1Tn, supported by JIIPE.
- Net profit reached IDR 774Bn, +18% QoQ and +26% YoY, with 1H26 earnings covering 51.1% of FY26F consensus, keeping results broadly in-line.
- Key watch: margin durability and JIIPE sales sustainability. Lower ICP should support petroleum trading margins in 3Q26, while lumpy JIIPE land sales and recurring utilities growth remain key earnings drivers.
- At 9.91x FY26F P/E, AKRA trades below its 5-year mean of 11.19x and remains above the -1 SD level of 9.00x. With petroleum trading margins set to recover as crude prices ease and JIIPE land sales continuing to support earnings, we see the current valuation as reasonable, although earnings could remain volatile given the lumpy nature of land sales and crude price movements.
Regards, Aldiracita Research