KEY HIGHLIGHTS
- 2Q26 net profit IDR 326Bn, +17% QoQ but -67% YoY, taking 1H26 to IDR 604Bn: ~24% of FY26F consensus — well behind a straight-line pace as development-revenue recognition weakened.
- 1H26 revenue IDR 4.75Tn, -26% YoY (38% of FY26F), as land sales fell 58% and residential handovers 36%; commercial was flat and recurring non-development revenue rose 19%.
- 1H26 EBITDA IDR 1.71Tn, -31% YoY; EBITDA margin 36.0% from 39.0%, operating margin 22.1% from 28.3% on cost deleverage, though gross margin improved to 66.5% on a richer mix.
- Our read: the soft first half is recognition timing, not weak demand. Pre-sales held at IDR 5.12Tn in 1H26 (+1% YoY), 51% of the IDR 10Tn FY target and led by residential (+12% YoY); at 5.3x forward P/E vs an 8.8x 5-year mean, the de-rating looks overdone. Key watch: whether 2H handovers convert the pre-sales backlog into recognised earnings.
Regards, Aldiracita Research