KEY HIGHLIGHTS
- Jul-26 net profit IDR 60Bn, -87.3% MoM, from IDR 476Bn in June. Funding cost did it: interest expense of IDR 1.5Tn against IDR 1.2Tn. Single-month RoE 2.5% from 19.4%.
- NII IDR 898Bn, -26.3% MoM, on a IDR 19.8Tn deposit inflow, nearly all time deposits. IDR 16.3Tn of it went to BI and interbank placements, not loans. NIM 2.5% from 3.4%.
- Costs and provisions are timing, not trend. Opex rose 21.6% MoM to IDR 1.0Tn, with June the lightest month of 2026 and July the heaviest, yet 7M26 opex is flat YoY. July’s IDR 224Bn provision sits on the IDR 198Bn run-rate; June’s IDR 54Bn was the outlier. 7M26 credit cost 0.7% from 1.4%.
- Our read: the damage is funding, not credit. 7M26 net profit IDR 2.0Tn, +12.3% YoY; loans +9.8% YoY, above guidance. 7M26 profit is 50.7% of FY26F, behind pace (Bank Only). At 0.45x P/BV, under its five-year -1SD, inexpensive against its own history. Key watch: whether the July deposits get lent in 3Q26.
Regards, Aldiracita Research