KEY HIGHLIGHTS
- Net profit IDR 155 Bn in 2Q26, +4.8% QoQ and +106.6% YoY, taking 1H26 to IDR 303 Bn, 50.6% of FY26F; 1H26 finance costs more than halved to IDR 5.8 Bn on net cash.
- 2Q26 revenue IDR 1.6 Tn, +6.9% YoY, but 1H26 at IDR 3.2 Tn is only 45.6% of FY26F, a slight miss; 1H26 SKM revenue +23.7% YoY carries 66.4% of the mix, filter rod fell 3.0% and SKT 8.3%.
- 2Q26 gross margin 24.1%, +3.6pp YoY, as excise eased to 40.8% of net sales from 46.7%; 2Q26 operating margin +5.6pp to 12.4%, both profit lines IN-LINE at 50.5% and 50.8% of FY26F.
- Our read: a real margin story, but a one-product one. Excise relief and SKM do all the work; SKT shrinks. At 5.6x blended-forward P/E against a 6.7x five-year mean, and with 1H25 only 35.8% of FY25 operating profit, 1H26 runs well ahead of pace. Key watch: the 2027 excise tariff and whether SKM holds its share.
Regards, Aldiracita Research